Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Tuesday, September 11, 2012

BOND MARKET AND INTEREST RATE UPDATE

Bonds rallied and mortgage rates improved a bit in the aftermath of the election, responding positively to the Democratic sweep.

Why?

Primarily because of the expected return to fiscal responsibility, and barring that, at least based on the notion of a spending gridlock arising from those opposing forces of a Republican White House and a Democratically controlled Congress.

This morning’s Michigan University Consumer Sentiment index showed a small but unexpected drop in consumer confidence, foreshadowing a possible slowing of consumer spending. That, along with a $13 billion auction of the 10-year U.S. Treasury notes, 34% of which was gobbled up by foreign banks gave bonds further support and help prolong this weeks rally.

Last week, the pendulum of economic news that alternately suggests inflation or recession swung to the inflation side. Unemployment fell to an all-time low of 4.4%, while labor costs rose and productivity fell. That batch of news scared the bond market a bit and pushed mortgage rates a little higher.

Mortgage Rates. Conventional 30 year fixed rates were just under 6% this week with one point, 6.25% with zero points. The 3/1, 5/1, 7/1 and 10/1 ARMs offer no help with payments. Due to the flat yield curve in bonds, those rates are about the same. I’m advising my clients to take a 30 year fixed. Remember, the jumbo 30 year is about 1/4 point higher, and the interest-only version of any loan is just slightly higher than its amortized counterpart. All in all, rates are pretty stable and show no clear trend either direction.

Monday, September 10, 2012

About us!


Royall Beach Estates is being developed by Paul & Lynda Royall who first looked at this beautiful piece of property in 1998 when they first moved to The Bahamas.

Over the past 30 years Paul & Lynda have been involved in the development and management of resort hotels. They have worked with many multi national companies and although originally from England they worked in Canada, New Zealand, the US, the Virgin Islands and of course here in The Bahamas. They have always worked with five star properties including 4 Conde Nast 500 resorts, one, of which, was voted one of the best 10 in the world! They now continue with this high level of development with their own development, Royall Beach Estates.Paul & Lynda purchased the property they are developing in early 1998 and completed Phase I in the spring of 1999.

  Royall Beach Estate is a Luxury Condominium Development situated "on the other side of Nassau" amidst 3 acres of pristine beach front property, unspoiled and beautiful. Those who have discovered this South Western hideaway already enjoy an idyllic "Out Island" lifestyle of peace & tranquility.

Away from the "hustle & bustle" of Nassau, but close to all the modern conveniences, they enjoy the "Best of both worlds". Historically, this area has been a guarded secret, known only to the lucky few, but now we invite everyone to discover the "MAGIC ON THE OTHER SIDE".

  Royall Beach Estate is a collection of individually styled Condominiums in a gated community safe guarded by 24 hour security. Each unit has a spectacular, Ocean View over looking secluded beaches surrounded by lush natural landscaping. Royall Beach Estate will be limited to 44 units and will be built in 4 phases. At each phase, two & three bedroom floor plans are offered, each uniquely different and all at unbelievably affordable prices. Traditional Bahamian design has been chosen for the exterior style of the buildings and the interiors are bright and contemporary providing the finest luxuries, comforts and conveniences. This exquisite development is located only 10 minutes from Nassau's International Airport and within minutes of the Lyford Cay Shopping Center. A trip to town will take 25 minutes on a picturesque coastal drive, without the traffic delays that have affected many other residential areas of New Providence. The best Golf Course in The Bahamas is within walking distance of your front door and a world class Dive operation and Marina is literally, a "stone's throw away". Tennis courts and a number of fine restaurants are right on your doorstep. Imagine, paradise at its best, palm trees, and cool tropical breezes. Could life be any better!



Black Hawk Vacation Rentals
300 Badger Road

Black Hawk, Colorado 80244
(720) 336-4479

"What our residents say"

We have joyfully lived at the Kingwood Village Estates for 7 years.  We moved in on Charles’ birthday, July 23rd, 1996 and have enjoyed every minute we lived in this condo.  We courageously moved in with a door key (but no front door) and no window in the kitchen, but praise the Lord for a night watchman who kept watch over us because we wanted to move in on his birthday!

We have enjoyed every minute we have lived here.  The people in the condo are very friendly and very helpful and there is always a good spirit in living here.

We appreciate the maintenance of the grounds and of the inside of the condos as well.  The halls are always immaculate and the lobby is always beautiful.

We moved here from a beautiful, big house but we have never regretted one moment moving in this condo.  It is a delight to be here with the peace and the joy that goes with living at Kingwood village Estates.

Charles and Frances Hunter
The Happy Hunters

Sunday, September 9, 2012

FED CUTS LESS THAN EXPECTED: MORTGAGE RATES IMPROVE

The Federal Reserve today lowered the Federal Funds rate by a quarter point to 4.25% and the Discount rate by a quarter point to 4.75%.

Now remember that the Fed is playing with overnight lending rates between banks and between banks and the Federal Reserve itself.   This does have an impact on mortgage rates, but it does so in advance.  In other words, as economists and bond traders build consensus about what they think the Fed will do, mortgage rates adjust before the actual event. 

Then, when the Fed meets, the markets move based not on what the Fed did but rather upon what the Fed did compared to what they were expected to do.  This past week, mortgage rates moved higher as hopes for a half-point cut evaporated.  The stock market was still hopeful and had been rallying, pulling money from bonds and pushing bond yields (hence mortgage rates) higher.

So today, the stock market was disappointed by the conservative Fed move and was off 175 points a little while ago.  The bond market is rallying helping push mortgage rates lower.  I started getting minor price adjustments from my lenders this afternoon. 

SACRAMENTO MORTGAGE RATES: WAS THAT THE BOTTOM?

A few weeks ago, the Fed made an emergency rate cut of 75 basis points followed by another 50 basis point cut at their Jan 29th meeting. Mortgage rates plunged briefly but then turned and exploded higher in a climb that lasted several weeks and carried the 30 year fixed back up into the 6.25% range. Consumers were confused, and many lost out as they waited and hoped for rates to fall even further.

The 30 year fixed stands at 5.875% once again this morning as Bernanke?s testimony yesterday and the stream of economic data point to economy with the brake pedal mashed against the floorboard. With oil brushing up against $102 a barrel and the specter of inflation dancing gleefully on the horizon, the Fed still seems more concerned on balance about the recession that ?we?re not in?, which tells you something about how bad things look to them.

Mortgage Rate Forecast

Rates are improving this morning, but don?t wait for them to plunge. This is just part of the weekly cycle of volatility that consumers will have to watch carefully in order to lock in a good rate. The driver for mortgage rates isn?t the Fed action, not the recession, not even liquidity; it?s all about risk.

Forget about watching the 10 year Treasury for clues about mortgage rates. The correlation that existed was due to the fact that investors thought mortgage back securities and the U.S. Treasury 10 yr Note held about the same amount of risk. Guess what they think now.

SACRAMENTO REAL ESTATE: PRICES FIND THE BOTTOM


What emerged as a brief flurry of activity appears to have developed into buying trend. Sacramento prices?at least in some areas?may have finally found a bottom.

How do we know this? Although the activity seems highly concentrated in the bank-owned property arena, it has become common for buyers to have competition. Investors and first time buyers are competing for properties at the bottom, often driving up prices beyond that asked by the bank/owner. According to agents I know, there are many all-cash offers among the buyers out there.

MORTGAGE HORROR STORY OF THE WEEK–MORTGAGE FRAUD MEETS FSBO

It’s not that I want to keep beating the mortgage fraud drum, it just keeps falling into my lap.

Furthermore, I figured that as a mortgage broker with almost two decades of experience, I could easily steer clear of trouble.  After all, if I can’t recognize mortgage fraud, who can? 

But today I learned a double lesson.  Mortgage brokers and FSBO sellers are both at risk of getting caught up in mortgage fraud.  Without even knowing. 

What happened?

This morning, a woman called in and asked to speak with “the broker”.  Hmmm….sounds like trouble.  Although reluctant at first to explain, she finally spilled the beans.   Here’s what unfolded.


The woman is a FSBO seller here in Sacramento, and her sale was supposed to close today.  She had grown concerned, however, because nowhere in the paperwork was there any disclosure of the cash she was giving back to the buyer after the close.  She told the escrow officer she wanted the credit disclosed in writing, but she was told to keep quiet or her loan would not fund. Is your Spidey sense tingling yet?

Originally, she had asked $440,000 for the home.  But the buyer offered her $500,000, with a $60,000 cash credit back after the close.  The credit would be disguised as a payment directly through title from the seller to the buyer’s son-in-law, a local underwriter for a well known subprime lender.  Handled this way, the credit would be invisible to the lender.  And as always with loan fraud, this was a 100% financed, owner-occupied, stated income loan.  So the borrower was borrowing $60,000 more than she was actually paying for the home.  The seller was told this was perfectly fine.

The Epiphany

Here’s the astonishing thing.  Despite the fact that this buyer is a past client of Big Valley Mortgage, her loan officer had no clue about the arrangement.  How could that be?   The buyer had approached the loan officer for help with a “rush”.  The deal had fallen apart with another lender and had only two weeks left to close.  To hide the credit, the buyer had used an out of town appraiser and escrow officer.  Presumably the appraiser cooked the books.  Certainly the escrow officer willfully defrauded the lender.   

After learning the truth, the loan officer immediately called the escrow officer to cancel the transaction.  But the escrow officer had already requested funds and released the Deed to record!  And just like that, the unwitting FSBO seller and loan officer had committed mortgage fraud.  

The Lesson

Mortgage brokers need to be alert to the signs of fraud, things like hurried deals, unfamiliar partners in the transaction, and the absence of Realtors as a second set of eyes and ears.  It isn’t unusual in today’s Internet world, for buyers to gather a team of people that are not local or acquainted.  But a local team may be a buyer or seller’s best defense against problems.

And FSBO sellers now have one more thing to watch out for when operating without the help of a real estate professional.

Epilogue

Fortunately, a call to the lender was sufficient to reverse the transaction and cancel the deal before the police showed up.  But it was close.

Got an opinion or thought on this?   Leave a comment below. 

Got a question or need help with a loan?   Shoot me an email.

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« Purchasing Sacramento Short Sales–A Waste of Time?
Conflicting Credit Scores Cause Confusion »
This entry was posted on Monday, January 29th, 2007 at 1:18 pm     and is filed under Loan Fraud, Sac Real Estate, True Stories. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

3 Responses to “Mortgage Horror Story of the Week–Mortgage Fraud meets FSBO”


Lucy Says:

And that sounded like such an innocent deal. Thats terrible that someone could have been taken like that. She was just getting change back, right? Not! Seems to be an alarming trend, the mortgage fraud business. Ralph Roberts is quoted in the Swanepoel Trends Report by saying that more and more people are being sent to jail on charges of bank fraud and conspiracy to commit mortgage fraud. I am concerned that this will get worse before it gets better. What do you think?

Marc Says:

Yes Lucy, just small change. $60k is no big deal.

I believe it will get worse before it improves. There is just too much money involved. I am worried too that scammers will target For Sale By Owners, trying to take advantage of a naive consumer who may be unaware for this stuff. An increasing awareness is the best defense, so I’m on my soap box a lot with Realtors and clients getting the word out.

Thanks for commenting!

100% FINANCING WITH VA: CAN YOU HAVE 2 VA LOANS??

In the ongoing quest to unearth the few remaining 100% home loan options, I wrote a recent article about VA loans called 100% Financing: Focusing on VA.  Since then, I have been asked numerous times whether or not a veteran can have two VA loans.

The answer is yes and yes.  Now I know that the question above refers to two VA loans and not two questions, so let me explain the two yes answers.   As most lenders and veterans already know, a veteran can have two VA loans in succession.  Once a VA loan has been paid off and the property sold, VA eligibility is reinstated and reusable.  On a one time basis, a veteran can even pay off the VA loan while retaining the property.

But the second part of that question is much more interesting. (va housing)

Can a Veteran Have Two Concurrent VA Loans?

In this down market, it is not unusual for a homeowner to want to buy a new home while waiting until the market improves before selling the current home.  So can the veteran purchase a second using her VA entitlement while retaining the first?

Yes, often they can.  The key is how much of the entitlement was used to buy the first home.  As I stated in my previous VA post, the maximum amount of the entitlement shown on each veteran’s Certificate of Eligibility is $36,000.  That represents a 25% VA guarantee on the old $144,000 loan amount.  But those figures are obsolete.  There is a bonus entitlement of $68,250 available to the veteran buying a home valued at more than $144,000.   The two entitlement amounts total $104,250 which is 25% of the current conforming loan limit of $417,000.  Got it?

Let’s look at how this worked out for a recent client of mine.

Example

A recent client of mine bought a home 8 years ago in Southern California for $120,000.  Of his available $36,000 entitlement, he used only $30,000 (25% of the $120k).  He came back to Sacramento recently from overseas duty and wanted to buy a $290,000 home while retaining the SoCal financed home as a rental.

Because the price of the new home exceeds $144,000, the veteran has 6,000 remaining of his original entitlement plus the bonus entitlement of $68,250.  That total ($75,250) equals 25% of $297,000, so he has enough remaining entitlement to cover the full cost of the new home.  He could buy a more expensive home by simply making up the difference in cash.

As more veterans return home, questions about VA are arising more frequently.  My next post will focus on CalVET loans, available here in California.

Leave your questions or comments below, and join in the conversation!

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STILL HERE; JUST LITTLE TIME FOR BLOGGING

Wow, that was a long time-out!  After writing consistently for a year and a half, the market meltdown and the ever increasing effort of getting loans closed on time finally gobbled up all my blogging time.

That said, there is more than ever to write about, more change coming faster all the time, more information to get out, tightening lending rules, and more broken glass to side step on the path to home ownership.

But blogging has been therapy,  and I’ve missed it, a chance to pause and process the news that hurls by daily and ponder for a few moments what it means to me, to consumers and Realtors, and to the business. 

So I’m back.